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Probabilistic Approach to Natural Hazards Assessment

PhD Seminar Autumn Semester 2008

Prof. Dr. Michael Havbro Faber and Kazuyoshi Nishijima

101-1110-00L Probabilistics in Engineering
Wednesday 16:45-18:00, HIL E 6

 

Mode

The seminar will be conducted as a study group under the responsibility of Prof. Faber. All participants will in turn be responsible for presenting a part of the material and for developing the example. Self study, presentations and discussions will constitute main components of the course.

Who should attend?

Researchers, Ph. D. students, post-docs and graduate students as well as practitioners interested in the probabilistic assessment of natural hazard events and the applications to engineering decision making. No experience on the assessment of natural hazard events is required. The participants should, however, have basic skills for probability calculations.

Assistant

Kazuyoshi Nishijima
nishijima@ibk.baug.ethz.ch 044 633 43 16
HIL E 22.3

Agenda

Date Topic Lecturer Presentations
17.09.08

Introduction

Prof. M.H. Faber Presentation1
24.09.08

Practical example

(Seismic hazards in Japan)

K. Nishijima Presentation2
01.10.08
Practical example (Typhoon hazards in Japan)

Selected paper presentation

M. Graf
F. Bethmann
Presentation3_1

Presentation3_2

08.10.08 Selected paper presentation

Selected paper presentation

E. Bilis
M. Sandomeer
Presentation4_1

Presentation4_2

15.10.08 Selected paper presentation
Selected paper presentation
M. Kunz
K. Kraemer
Presentation5_1

Presentation5_2

22.10.08 Selected paper presentation
Discussion
A. Kurz
K. Nishijima
Presentation6_1
Presentation6_2
29.10.08 Discussion on the treatment of uncertainties    
05.11.08 Selected paper presentation J. Qin Presentation7
12.11.08 (No seminar)  
19.11.08 Selected paper presentation
Discussion on the use of hazard maps
H. Narashimhan Presentation8
26.11.08 Selected paper presentation E. Sabiote Presentation9
03.12.08 Presentation of a rock-fall risk analysis tool M. Schubert Presentation10
10.12.08 (No seminar, contacting by e-mails)  
17.12.08
Final presentation on the rockfall hazard map   Presentation_final
 

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