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Bayesian networks and Bayesian hierarchical analysis in engineering
PhD Seminar Autumn Semester 2009
Prof. Dr. Marc Maes, Prof. Dr. Michael Havbro Faber and Kazuyoshi Nishijima
101-1110-00L Probabilistics in Engineering
Wednesday 16:45-18:00, HIL E 6
Mode
The seminar will be conducted as a study group under the responsibility of Prof. Faber. All participants will in turn be responsible for presenting a part of the material and for developing the example. Self study, presentations and discussions will constitute main components of the course.
Who should attend?
Researchers, Ph. D. students, post-docs and graduate students as well as practitioners interested in the probabilistic assessment of natural hazard events and the applications to engineering decision making. No experience on the assessment of natural hazard events is required. The participants should, however, have basic skills for probability calculations.
Assistant
|
Kazuyoshi Nishijima |
nishijima@ibk.baug.ethz.ch |
044 633 43 16 |
HIL E 22.3 |
Agenda
| Date | Topic | Lecturer | Presentations |
| 30.09.09 |
Introduction |
Prof. M. Maes K. Nishijima |
Seminar introduction |
|
07.10.09 |
BN* 1: model building |
K. Nishijima | Presentation |
|
14.10.09 |
BN 2: decision making | A. Anders |
Presentation Example |
| 21.10.09 |
Variability within multi-component systems (+ easy application using HBM**) |
S. Zhang | Presentation |
| 28.10.09 |
Spatial GLM*** networks and hierarchies (+ easy application in human error analysis) |
K. Kraemer E. Sabiote |
Presentation Winbugs file |
| 04.11.09 |
Spatial discrete hazards using HBM (+ easy application in accident) |
M. Graf |
Presentation Winbugs files |
| 11.11.09 | No seminar | ||
| 18.11.09 |
Spatial variability: classical vs Bayesian kriging (+ easy application in simple geostatistics using HBM) |
T. Doppler | Presentation |
| 25.11.09 | No seminar | ||
| 02.12.09 |
Hazard modeling using BN and HBM (+ easy application on earthquakes) |
K. Nishijima |
Presentation Winbugs file |
| 09.12.09 |
HBM for environmental problems (+ easy application) |
A. Qureshi A. Erath |
Presentation |
| 16.12.09 Session 1 |
HBM for noisy/dirty data in integrity and lifetime extension assessment (+ easy application in pipeline deterioration) |
M. Sandomeer | Presentation |
| 16.12.09 Session 2 | HBM for extremes |
G. Fink J. Braendle H. Narasimhan R. Jockwer J. Vuillaume F. Rhys |
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(BN*: Bayesian network, HBN**: Hierarchical Bayesian model, GLM***: Generalized linear model.)
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